Selection Awards Circuit part is the house for all awards information and associated content material all year long, that includes the next: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Selection chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages mirror the present standings within the race and don’t mirror private preferences for any particular person contender. As different formal (and casual) polls recommend, competitions are fluid and topic to vary based mostly on buzz and occasions. Predictions are up to date each Thursday.

WICKED: FOR GOOD, (aka WICKED: ACT II, aka WICKED: PART TWO), Jeff Goldblum as The Wizard of Oz , 2025. ph: Giles Keyte / © Common Footage / Courtesy Everett Assortment

©Common/Courtesy Everett Assortment

Oscars Commentary (Up to date: Nov. 20, 2025): With the race tightening and several other contenders hitting new peaks, the season is in full acceleration because the Thanksgiving vacation looms.

Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After One other” continues to dominate the charts with a large 14 projected nominations, adopted intently by Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners” at 13 and Guillermo del Toro’s quickly ascending “Frankenstein” with 12. As Chloé Zhao’s “Hamnet” holds regular at 11 and “Depraved: For Good” pushes into the highest tier with 9, the Oscar panorama is taking form — nevertheless it’s nonetheless removed from settled (or “locked”).

Del Toro’s return to the director and tailored screenplay prediction charts for the primary time in months alerts a significant shift in momentum for “Frankenstein.” The movie’s surge has additionally elevated its craft prospects and general awards narrative, with trade buzz mirroring its climb.

On the efficiency facet, Hailee Steinfeld breaks into the supporting actress lineup for the primary time this season, because of her standout flip in “Sinners,” and will web her a second profession nom after “True Grit” (2010).

But darkish horses proceed to linger on the edges, threatening to upend any sense of stability. “Ne Zha 2” stays a vibrant participant in animated function, whereas “Bugonia” is positioned might nonetheless shock in a number of classes if ardour votes stack up.

The primary official charts for achievement in casting and authentic rating are out.

Prime 5 projected Oscar nomination leaders (movies): “One Battle After One other” (14); “Sinners” (13); “Frankenstein” (12); “Hamnet” (11); “Depraved: For Good” (9);

Prime 5 projected Oscar nomination leaders (studios): Warner Bros. (30); Netflix (19); Focus Options (14); Neon (13); A24 (7)

*** = PREDICTED WINNER
(All predicted nominees listed beneath are in alphabetical order)

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